{"id":497,"date":"2012-12-21T03:50:29","date_gmt":"2012-12-21T03:50:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/WordPressX\/?page_id=497"},"modified":"2013-08-12T21:53:46","modified_gmt":"2013-08-12T11:53:46","slug":"what-are-my-chances","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/what-are-my-chances\/","title":{"rendered":"What are my chances?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For those who would like to read an assessment of the likelihood of cryonics working, Steven Harris, a physician, has taken the Sagan-Drake equation and applied it to cryonics to judge the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.alcor.org\/Library\/html\/WillCryonicsWork.html#perryhttp:\/\/\" target=\"_blank\">probability of cryonics working<\/a>. \u00a0 Michael Perry, a computer scientist specializing in mathematical methods, has made adjustments to this work to be more mathematically rigorous, resulting in an <a title=\" \" href=\"http:\/\/www.alcor.org\/Library\/html\/WillCryonicsWork.html#perry\" target=\"_blank\">improved methodology for the probability of cryonics working<\/a><a title=\"M Perry adjustments\" href=\"http:\/\/www.alcor.org\/Library\/html\/WillCryonicsWork.html#perry\" target=\"_blank\">.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Both assessments tackle the technological, environmental and social aspects of cryonics working.\u00a0 To quote Michael Perry&#8217;s conclusions, <strong>&#8220;In my estimation, cryonics will probably work on purely technological grounds, though there are uncertainties.\u00a0 When social factors are taken into consideration the outcome is less certain, <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">maybe in the 50-50 range<\/span>, but it still leaves reasonable ground for hope.&#8221;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you wish to use your own ideas to determine how likely cryonics is to work, have a look at the <a href=\"http:\/\/cryonicscalculator.com\/\" target=\"_blank\"> Cryonics Calculator<\/a>, which will give you an estimate that takes into account any concerns you may have about disasters, financial failures, and so on.<\/p>\n<p>We consider cryonics to be based on science, so it is always important to provide as wide a range of scientific opinions as possible.\u00a0 We therefore need to consider various viewpoints and we encourage you to do so as well.<\/p>\n<p>There are many scientists who consider cryonics a reasonable possibility.\u00a0 Almost no scientist will say that it is a future impossibility.\u00a0 To give you a wider perspective, we have this interesting article that addresses the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.rationalwiki.org\/wiki\/Cryonics\" target=\"_blank\">issues with cryonics.<\/a>\u00a0 Even though this article does cover the issues and challenges ahead, it also highlights that most of the people interested in cryonics are well educated, primarily in science related areas.<\/p>\n<p>For more information please also visit the<a href=\"http:\/\/www.alcor.org\/AboutCryonics\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\"> Alcor web site<\/a>.\u00a0 Alcor is one of the two cryonics organizations in the US.\u00a0 While they obviously show science supporting cryonics, they also have a good summary of alternate opinions.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>For those who would like to read an assessment of the likelihood of cryonics working, Steven Harris, a physician, has taken the Sagan-Drake equation and applied it to cryonics to judge the probability of cryonics working. \u00a0 Michael Perry, a &hellip; <a href=\"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/what-are-my-chances\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","template":"","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/497"}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=497"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/497\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":501,"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/497\/revisions\/501"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/cryonicsservicesaustralia.com\/csa\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=497"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}